Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.358731 1.549287 1.756751 1.999380 2.275361 2.579534 2.940272
2025-02-09 1.093993 1.361001 1.677427 2.080025 2.578753 3.176535 3.948003
2025-02-16 0.930811 1.230121 1.606290 2.113683 2.780481 3.627464 4.786362
2025-02-23 0.790060 1.097227 1.502337 2.075602 2.866369 3.919751 5.431837
2025-03-02 0.689898 1.000324 1.427232 2.057020 2.963065 4.220841 6.102985
2025-03-09 0.618195 0.931627 1.379123 2.064343 3.087926 4.562260 6.852052
2025-03-16 0.559112 0.872861 1.336417 2.070825 3.206259 4.897746 7.615583
2025-03-23 0.512993 0.827497 1.307149 2.091429 3.343200 5.267085 8.457121
2025-03-30 0.458853 0.763248 1.241509 2.047025 3.371669 5.467980 9.047972
2025-04-06 0.412497 0.706324 1.181137 2.003520 3.394556 5.657510 9.631126
2025-04-13 0.367527 0.646915 1.110618 1.935391 3.368342 5.761390 10.076013
2025-04-20 0.360251 0.650874 1.145572 2.047891 3.655799 6.408415 11.496987
2025-04-27 0.352777 0.654353 1.180929 2.166042 3.966849 7.127580 13.119544
2025-05-04 0.340169 0.647379 1.197294 2.251839 4.228183 7.782497 14.688155
2025-05-11 0.321506 0.627194 1.187644 2.288317 4.401188 8.291164 16.029870
2025-05-18 0.294308 0.588066 1.139281 2.247101 4.423661 8.522857 16.866656
2025-05-25 0.272553 0.557355 1.103865 2.226990 4.483656 8.827810 17.867791
2025-06-01 0.256192 0.535742 1.083898 2.234916 4.598215 9.244788 19.122485
2025-06-08 0.241168 0.515397 1.064523 2.241931 4.710734 9.665303 20.417982
2025-06-15 0.228980 0.499785 1.053227 2.264230 4.855818 10.161393 21.909595
2025-06-22 0.210971 0.470092 1.010330 2.216173 4.848765 10.344311 22.754829
2025-06-29 0.194661 0.442584 0.969638 2.169089 4.839227 10.520050 23.597363
2025-07-06 0.177492 0.411593 0.918844 2.095354 4.764832 10.550819 24.122543